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Is Sony's 10 Year Plan Still Viable?

The ten-year plan is to Jack Tretton what tear gas is to the Iranian Government, or what heterosexual marriage is to Sarah Palin. In other words, it's an ideology, an organizing principle. The president of Sony Computer Entertainment has faced many challenges to his bold strategy, with some of the harshest criticisms coming just this past week. First, Activision CEO Bobby Kotick came out publicly and stated that his company would stop making games for the Playstation 3 if Sony did not cut prices and sell more hardware. Then, in slightly more polite (and characteristically Japanese) terms, Koei president Kenji Matsubara asked if Sony would "please lower the price" of the PS3. It's almost like Tretton came home from a night of debauchery to find himself in the middle of an intervention.

However, rather than recognizing that he's got a problem, the Sony president appears more convinced than ever by his ten-year timeline for success of the Playstation 3. Among other things, that means that we can't expect a significant price cut very soon. Talking recently to Fast Company magazine, he blasted cheaper consoles from competitors while re-iterating his allegiance to, you guessed it, a ten-year plan:


"[P]eople are always wanting you to lower your price on hardware. We could've come out with a PlayStation 2.5 for $299 or less, and in the first two or three years it would sell extremely well. But there would be a point where people would be going, "I am not really seeing the incremental leap." We feel that we're sacrificing the short term to pay dividends in the long term. People are having short-term thinking--the platform is not even three years old. It was $599; it's now $399. The focus on pricing is something we appreciate, but you have to have the conviction and the confidence that you are on the right path for the long term and ultimately you'll get all the consumers you want. You won't get them all day one, but we're looking to get them over a 10-year period."



jacktretton_ps3.jpg

Sony Computer Entertainment President Jack Tretton holds up a Playstation 3 at a promotional event.


On one hand, a ten-year vision for hardware does have a certain appeal. It suggestive of traditional corporate values like customer loyalty and trust. We know that Sony won't come out with a better, faster PS3 just days after we finally plunk down the money for one, and that it will continue to support our console long after competitors have withered. On the other hand, the incredible speed at which technology improves means that locking in to a ten-year cycle seems stifling. Apple doesn't wait for more than a few months before updating its many product lines, and it seems to be doing quite well. What would happen if Microsoft released a brand new Xbox console in 2011 that quadrupled the processor speed, ram and storage of current models? The current model of PS3, by contrast, isn't set to expire until 2016. Would Sony continue to flog its PS3 platform for five more years?





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Comments

VinTheDean

 - July 6, 2009 2:08 PM

Just because the PS3 has a Ten Year Life Plan does not mean that Sony will not release a PS4 sooner. (In reponse to your comment about technologicall advances). The PS3 (san the graphics card) is ahead of the game. It's 6 core process (it really has 8 but the developers only have access to 6). Intel has a 6 core process in the pipe now for servers. Which means that it will hit the Personal Desktop relatively soon. The fact that you can program for the PS3 and then port to the Xbox360 (three cores) says that advancement in thinking and development of the PS3. I think that rumors are true about the PS4. It will be based dramatically on the PS3 Cell Processor's Technology. More Ram (8 to 16 GB of RAM - one can hope right) and a kick as Video Card (at least 1GB). The PS4 could theoretically be release along side the next Xbox. It's just that the PS3 support/life will go on until 2016. Look at the PS2. It's getting ready to be 10 next year. The PS3 can live along side the PS4. No one is stating that it's not.

Gunchrote

 - July 6, 2009 4:29 PM

I agree...The PS3 can last 10 years, but of course Sony will release a higher powered product should the competition do it first, that can't be denied.

LDuB

 - July 6, 2009 4:35 PM

I Wish I too would be standing there, holding a PS3... (...Sigh)

LDuB

 - July 6, 2009 4:37 PM

So the PS3 is better than the XBox?

dks

 - July 6, 2009 4:45 PM

yes dean, you`ve seen the point. its more about support than time to new console, ps4 will be here sooner than 2016. ps and xbox will be released cca together again (and forever) due to game making. but it wont be very soon. they need to push current gen as long as it will be possible. in terms of years. it really hard to say dates and i dont have crystal ball, but i think we can here about new console in 2010/2011 and it will be here in 2012 (xbox first again) and/or 2013.

Scott Salbo

 - July 6, 2009 6:02 PM

If major developers carry through on their threats to stop making games for the hardware, then it doesn't matter what the long term plan is. It also doesn't matter who has the most advanced system. Sony should have learned this lesson with the Betamax fiasco. Beta was way better than VHS. VHS was way cheaper. Guess who won. And who's in last place in the current console wars now? What's the order of the console popularity? Wii is cheapest and #1, even though they have almost no noteworthy games. Xbox is #2 everywhere except Japan. Microsoft offers the second cheapest. No one will buy a PS3 if developers stop producing games for a system with flat growth.

lol

 - July 29, 2009 3:20 PM

wtf so it is a 10-year plan right? because wouldnt be right to release a new system so freakin soon

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